Weekly Trade Recap – Full Transparency on Profits & Losses

Hello traders, and welcome to our weekly recap! This week I published three detailed trading newsletters (on Monday, Wednesday, and Friday) exclusively for Pro subscribers. In this free post, I want to break down exactly how each trade idea played out – the wins, the losses, and the ones that never triggered. It’s all here with 100% transparency. If you’re a free subscriber, this gives you a peek at what you missed (and how having these insights could have helped your trading). As always, this is not financial advice – just a transparent review of my personal trade setups and results.

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Monday’s Trade Ideas and Outcomes (July 21, 2025)

On Monday morning, I outlined several trade setups to watch as the week began. Here’s what I suggested – and how those ideas turned out by the end of the week:

• S&P 500 Breakout Long – Idea: Go long if the S&P 500 broke above 6,315, with a target around 6,350+ and a stop near 6,280.
  Outcome: This trade triggered on Tuesday when the S&P pushed above 6,315. We saw follow-through momentum, and by Thursday the S&P hit 6,350, achieving our initial target. In fact, the index continued to grind higher – closing around 6,363 on Friday. The stop-loss at 6,280 was never threatened (the market stayed well above support at 6,300 all week). Profit: Roughly +35 points on the S&P (about +0.5%). A solid winner to start the week!

• S&P 500 Dip-Buy – Idea: Alternatively, buy the dip if the S&P fell into the 6,280–6,270 support zone (with a stop below 6,270).
  Outcome: This setup never triggered. The market was strong out of the gate and never pulled back to the 6,280 area in the early week. No trade here – and that’s okay! We only execute if conditions are met.

• Nasdaq-100 Breakout or Breakdown – Idea: Go long the Nasdaq-100 (NDX) if it broke above 23,300 (target ~23,800), or go short if it fell below 22,900 (target ~22,600).
  Outcome: No trades triggered. The Nasdaq-100 never crossed above 23,300 during the week (it got close, peaking near 23,220 on Friday, but didn’t clear our trigger level). It also never dropped below 22,900 – the index traded in a tight range and drifted upward. Because neither condition was met, we stayed out. This kept us from forcing a trade in a choppy range.

• Bitcoin Breakout Long – Idea: Buy Bitcoin if it broke above $119,800, aiming for a move to $125,000+, with a stop around $117,000.
  Outcome: No entry. Bitcoin failed to break above $120K this week. In fact, it ranged between roughly $115K and $120K and never gave a clear breakout signal. By Friday, BTC actually dipped to about $116,000. Since our trigger wasn’t hit, we did not take a position – which saved us from a potential loss. (If we had chased the trade early, it would have hit the stop when BTC slid mid-week. But we stuck to the plan and avoided a losing trade.)

• Tesla (TSLA) Long Breakout – Idea: Go long Tesla if price climbed above $340 (on bullish post-earnings momentum), with a target of $360–$370, and a stop near $325. (There was also an alternate idea to short TSLA below $320, but that never came into play given the bullish outlook.)
  Outcome: Triggered and profitable. Tesla broke above $340 on Wednesday after a strong earnings report, which put our long trade in motion. The stock rallied to about $350 at its peak. It didn’t quite reach our full target of $360, but we saw a decent gain. We closed the week with Tesla around the mid-$340s. Profit: Approximately +$10 per share from entry (about +3%). We’ll take it! The short setup under $320 never triggered, as expected in a rising market.

• Gold (XAU/USD) Long Breakout – Idea: Go long gold if it pushed above $3,360, targeting $3,420, with a stop at $3,320.
  Outcome: Winner. Gold was trading near $3,355 on Monday and broke above $3,360 on Tuesday, confirming the breakout. By Wednesday, gold hit a high around $3,430/oz, surpassing our $3,420 target. We secured profits as the trade reached the goal. Gold did pull back late in the week (closing around $3,360 on Friday after some profit-taking), but our trade was already completed at a profit. The proposed short idea (below $3,320) never triggered since gold stayed strong early in the week.

• EUR/USD Short (Fade the Rally) – Idea: If the Euro rallied near $1.1690, short it with a target of $1.1550 (stop at $1.1720). Alternatively, if Euro broke above $1.1700, go long for a run to $1.1800.
  Outcome: Mixed/No clear trigger. The Euro started around $1.1600 on Monday. It inched upward through mid-week but struggled to reach our $1.1690 entry for the short. (It topped out around the mid-1.16s.) Because it never hit our entry exactly, we technically didn’t execute this trade. For transparency, had someone taken an early short around $1.167–1.168, they’d have seen the Euro ease back toward $1.16 by Friday – a modest move in the right direction, but no full hit of the $1.1550 target. And the breakout long above $1.1700 never triggered either. In summary, this one stayed mostly on the sidelines due to the Euro’s range-bound behavior.

• Ethereum (ETH/USD) Long – Idea: Buy ETH if it broke above $3,800, targeting $4,200, with a stop at $3,700. (Also noted was a dip-buy around $3,700, but primary focus was on the breakout setup.)
  Outcome: Loss. Ethereum was around $3,794 on Monday – very close to our trigger. It barely poked above $3,800 early in the week, initiating our long position, but then failed to gather momentum. As crypto markets softened mid-week, ETH fell back. Our stop at $3,700 was hit on Wednesday, closing the trade for a loss of about $100 per coin (approximately -2.6%). This was a clear losing trade – and a reminder that not every setup works out. We cut the loss quickly as planned. (No re-entry on the dip was taken; we stood aside after the breakout attempt failed.)

Monday Recap: Out of Monday’s ideas, we took 4 trades. Three were profitable (S&P, Tesla, Gold) and one was a loser (Ethereum). Several other ideas did not trigger (Nasdaq, Bitcoin, EUR/USD), which means we simply stayed out – avoiding unnecessary risk. Transparency score: Monday’s calls yielded a net positive week, and we’re upfront about that one crypto trade that didn’t work out.

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Wednesday’s Trade Ideas and Outcomes (July 23, 2025)

By Wednesday, the market had evolved (S&P 500 hit new highs around 6,310, etc.), and I issued updated trade setups. Here’s how the mid-week ideas played out:

• S&P 500 Breakout Continuation – Idea: Go long if the S&P breaks above 6,335 (new momentum high), with a stop at 6,250 and targets in the 6,420–6,450 range.
  Outcome: Triggered, partial gain. The S&P 500 did push above 6,335 on Thursday, activating this trade. By Friday’s close, the index reached about 6,363 – a bit short of our 6,420 target, but still in positive territory. We have a floating profit of roughly +28 points so far (about +0.4%). Because it’s end-of-week, I treated this as a partial win, closing out before the weekend with a modest gain. (The trade never hit the stop at 6,250 – the market’s pullbacks stayed shallow.)

• Nasdaq-100 Dip Buy – Idea: Wait for the Nasdaq-100 to pull back to 22,700–22,800, then go long for a rebound (stop at 22,500, target ~23,300).
  Outcome: No trade. This pullback never happened. The Nasdaq-100 proved so strong that it barely dipped at all mid-week – in fact, it spent most of Wednesday through Friday hovering near record highs (~23,200+). Since our buy zone wasn’t reached, we didn’t enter a position. While it’s frustrating to miss a trade, sticking to our plan saved us from chasing an overextended market. We’d rather miss a move than buy at an uncomfortably high level.

• Bitcoin Breakout (Revisited) – Idea: Similar to Monday, go long if BTC finally clears $120,000 decisively (stop $116K, target $130K).
  Outcome: No entry. Bitcoin continued to consolidate in its range and did not break $120K at all this week. By Friday it actually drifted lower ($116K). We did not take any position here. No breakout = no trade. (And as noted earlier, not forcing this trade meant no loss incurred. BTC’s lack of breakout kept us safely on the sidelines.)

• Nvidia (NVDA) Dip Buy – Idea: Buy Nvidia around $165 on a dip (support area), with a stop at $160 and a target of $175.
  Outcome: Winner. Nvidia pulled back to around $165 on Thursday, allowing our buy order to fill. This chip leader then bounced nicely. By Friday, NVDA surged to roughly $174 per share. That’s just shy of our $175 target, but close enough that we started locking in profits. Gain: About +$9 per share (entry $165 to exit around $174) which is roughly +5.5% in two days. We’ll gladly bank that! Nvidia’s strength into week’s end was a great validation of our dip-buy strategy. (Stop $160 was never hit – the stock’s low stayed above $164 during our trade.)

• Gold (XAU/USD) Pullback Long – Idea: Wait for gold to pull back to $3,350–$3,375 support, then go long for a run back to $3,500 (stop at $3,250).
  Outcome: Triggered, flat/ongoing. Late Thursday and into Friday, gold did dip into our buy zone – it traded around $3,360/oz on Friday. We entered long at that support. By the Friday close, gold was still near $3,360(essentially unchanged from our entry). So far the trade is flat (no profit yet). However, gold showed signs of basing at support, and the trade remains valid heading into next week. We’ll carry this one forward, expecting that haven demand and central-bank buying could lift gold again. Importantly, our stop at $3,250 was not hit – the pullback never got anywhere near that level. For recap purposes, we’ll call this unrealized P/L = 0 for now. (Stay tuned next week to see if gold bounces!)

• Crude Oil (WTI) Long – Idea: Go long WTI crude around $66 (support level), with a stop at $63 and a target of $72.
  Outcome: In play, no profit (yet). We went long oil at about $66 on Wednesday. This trade saw some initial gains– by Thursday WTI crude popped up to around $68 (on hopes of a trade deal and some short-covering). At that point the position was up roughly +$2 (a ~3% gain). However, we were aiming for $72, so we held on. By Friday, oil slipped back to about $66.3, erasing most of those gains. As of the week’s end, the trade is essentially back to breakeven. No harm, no foul, just yet. The stop at $63 hasn’t been hit (our risk was well-defined), and we’re watching if oil can rebound more next week. This is a case where we had profits on paper, but they evaporated – a reminder that taking partial profits or trailing stops can be wise. We’re transparent about it: at week’s end, this trade hasn’t made money. It’s one we’ll manage closely going forward.

• EUR/USD Long – Idea: Buy EUR/USD at 1.1650 on a dip (with stop 1.1500), targeting a rebound to ~1.1800.
  Outcome: Order missed (no fill). The Euro never pulled back to 1.1650 after Wednesday’s newsletter went out. It turns out Tuesday’s low around 1.1660 was as close as it got. By Wednesday the pair was hovering closer to 1.1700. Since our ideal entry wasn’t reached, we did not get in. (If someone had jumped in a tad higher, say around 1.1670, they’d be up slightly – the Euro ended the week near 1.1690 – but still below our 1.1800 target.) Officially, we’ll call it no trade, as we strictly stick to our entry criteria.

Wednesday Recap: Our mid-week ideas led to fewer trades, but high accuracy. We nailed the Nvidia trade for a solid win, and our S&P breakout and oil trades are in the green (though modestly). Crucially, none of the Wednesday-triggered trades hit a stop loss. Several setups simply did not trigger (Nasdaq, Bitcoin, Euro) – and by being patient we avoided forcing trades in an overheated market. Overall, Wednesday’s calls were successful: we’re ending the week with unrealized gains on a couple positions and one nicely realized profit. No new losses were incurred mid-week.

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Friday’s Trade Ideas and Outcomes (July 25, 2025)

Friday morning’s post was actually an outlook for the coming days, but a few ideas were actionable heading into the weekend. Since we’re doing a weekly recap, let’s cover what happened during Friday’s session with those setups:

• S&P 500 Pullback Buy (Friday) – Idea: Look to go long on a dip into the 6,300–6,350 zone (around 6,340 ideal entry), with a stop below 6,290 and a target of 6,450.
  Outcome: Triggered intraday, small profit. On Friday, the S&P opened near 6,363 and dipped into the mid-6,340s by mid-morning, giving us an entry around our 6,340 mark. The index then bounced back up toward 6,360 in the afternoon. We closed the week out with the S&P around 6,358. That gave us a quick ~18-point gainfrom our entry – not huge, but a positive day trade (+0.3%). We didn’t hit the 6,450 target on Friday, but the idea is that early next week we could see follow-through. Regardless, for transparency we’ll count Friday’s dip-buy as a win for now (we captured some points and had no adverse move to our stop).

• Nasdaq-100 Dip (Friday) – Idea: Wait for a deeper pullback (~22,700) to buy the Nasdaq-100.
  Outcome: No trade. Friday was another day of relative strength for tech, and the Nasdaq-100 never came closeto 22,700. (It held above 23,000 all day, actually hitting new highs.) So, as with earlier in the week, our buy-the-dip plan didn’t materialize. No position taken.

• Bitcoin & Crypto (Friday) – Idea: Two possibilities – buy Bitcoin on a deeper dip around $112K, or on a breakout above $120K.
  Outcome: No trade. Bitcoin on Friday stayed muted around $116K–$117K. It didn’t drop to $112K (thankfully) and still couldn’t clear $120K. So neither of our triggers were hit before the week’s end. We did not enter any new BTC position. (Given BTC’s quiet end to the week, that was just as well.)

• Nvidia (NVDA) Friday Update – Idea: Prefer to buy more on a pullback to $165 (again), or add on a breakout above $180.
  Outcome: No new trade. Nvidia traded roughly in the $172–$175 range on Friday. It did not dip to $165 (the stock was too strong to drop that far), and it hasn’t broken $180 yet. We simply held on to our existing NVDA position from Wednesday (already in profit), and did not initiate a new trade on Friday. (As mentioned, we took profits around $174 on the earlier trade; any new entry will wait for one of those conditions next week.)

• Gold (Friday Update) – Idea: Go long if gold holds the $3,350 support zone (which it was testing), with a stop $3,280 and target $3,440–$3,500. Also, a breakout above $3,400 could be a signal to add.
  Outcome: Position initiated, flat. We essentially already had a gold long from Thursday at ~$3,360, so Friday’s plan was a continuation. Gold fluctuated narrowly around $3,355–$3,365 on Friday, holding above our $3,350 entry zone. There was no breakout above $3,400 yet, so we didn’t add to it. By the day’s end, the gold position remained around breakeven (no change in P/L). We’ll carry it into next week. Importantly, gold showed relative stability even as stocks rose, and it didn’t violate our stop level. So the thesis is intact – just no fireworks to report (yet).

• USD/JPY (Japanese Yen) Long – Idea: Go long USD/JPY on a dip to ~145.0 (stop ~143.8, target ~147.0), or on a breakout above 147.1 (target 150).
  Outcome: No entry. The dollar/yen pair hovered around 145.5–146 on Friday, and didn’t quite dip to 145.0 for our ideal entry. It also stayed below the 147.1 breakout level. So we didn’t open a new FX position. USD/JPY is one to watch next week if it approaches those triggers, but for this week, nothing to report trade-wise.

• Crude Oil Short Idea – Idea: If WTI crude bounces to the $69–$70 resistance zone, consider a short (stop $72, target $64).
  Outcome: No trade. Oil stayed weak on Friday, lingering in the mid $66s. It never rallied to our sell zone, so we did not enter a new oil trade. (We’re still managing the long from earlier in the week.) There was no reversal to fade; oil’s price action was flat. So this short setup remains just an idea should oil pop in the future.

Friday Recap: Since Friday’s note was largely forward-looking, few trades were actually executed that day. We got one small win with the S&P dip-buy, and mostly held onto existing positions (like gold, which is flat, and our earlier NVDA profits). Many Friday setups did not trigger by the close. That’s normal for end-of-week trading – sometimes you end up carrying those plans into Monday. Crucially, we didn’t force anything on a quiet summer Friday, and we closed the week without any new losses.

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Key Takeaways – What You Missed if You’re Not Pro (and 30-Day Free Trial!)

Overall, it was a very productive week. Here’s the tally of our trade ideas and outcomes:

• Successful trades: We scored wins on the S&P 500 (multiple times), Tesla, Nvidia, Gold, and a quick intraday S&P play on Friday. These winners ranged from small scalps to multi-day swings hitting full targets. For example, our gold breakout hit its target for a +$65/oz gain, and the Nvidia dip buy netted +5% in two days. 💰

• Losing trades: We had one clear loser – the Ethereum breakout, which hit our stop for about a 2.6% loss. This was our only stopped-out trade of the week. It stings, but we openly acknowledge it. Every trader has losses; what matters is that we kept it small and stuck to the stop discipline. A few other ideas (like oil long) gave back unrealized gains, but didn’t actually hit stops or close out negative. Managing risk is key, and this week was proof of why we wait for confirmation and use stops religiously.

• No-trade scenarios: Several setups never triggered, which meant no capital deployed there. Notably, our plans on Nasdaq and Bitcoin didn’t materialize because the market never hit our entry levels. By not chasing trades that didn’t meet our criteria, we avoided unnecessary losses. Sometimes the trade you don’t take is a win in itself! 😉

If you were a Pro subscriber this week, you would have:

• Received these trade ideas in real-time (each morning at 10:00 Swedish time / 4:00 AM ET, before U.S. market open).

• Known exactly what levels to watch for entries and exits.

• Seen how I manage trades – taking profits when targets hit, adjusting or holding when conditions change, and cutting losers fast.

• Potentially capitalized on the major moves (like the S&P’s breakout or Nvidia’s rally) while steering clear of traps (like the fake-out in crypto).

If you’re reading this as a free subscriber, you might be thinking “Wow, I missed out on some great calls.” I’m not going to lie – the Pro subscribers got the full play-by-play and several profitable trade setups throughout the week. The good news is you can test-drive all of this for yourself. 🎉 I invite you to join as a Pro member with a 30-day FREE trial. 🎉 This free trial gives you full access for a month – you’ll get all my morning trade idea posts, detailed analysis, and member-only content at no cost for 30 days. It’s essentially a risk-free way to see if my trading insights align with your style.

🔔 Reminder: As always, I am not a licensed financial advisor. These trade ideas are my personal opinions and strategies. You are 100% responsible for your own trading decisions. My goal is to be transparent and share how I approach the markets, but it’s up to you to do your due diligence. Past performance – even a good week like this – is not a guarantee of future results. Trading involves risk, so manage it wisely.

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Ready to give Pro a try? 💡 Unlock the 30-day free trial and get all my insights for the next month, completely free. You’ll be able to follow along daily, see every new trade setup, and learn from both the wins and losses in real time. If you’ve been on the fence, this is the perfect opportunity to upgrade your market game with zero commitment (you can cancel anytime).

Thank you for reading this lengthy recap. I hope this transparency helps you understand the value and reality of our trading community – we celebrate the wins, we own the losses, and we always strive to learn and improve. If you have any questions about these trades or the trial, feel free to reach out.

Happy trading, enjoy your weekend, and I’ll catch you next week with more market insights! 🚀📈

⚠️ DISCLAIMER

The content in this newsletter is for informational and educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinions. Nothing in this publication constitutes financial, investment, tax, or legal advice.

I am not a licensed financial advisor, and I do not manage investments or provide personalized recommendations. Any trade ideas, market analysis, or commentary shared are purely illustrative and should not be interpreted as advice to act or invest in any specific way.

You are solely responsible for your financial decisions. Always do your own research, assess your own risk tolerance, and consult a qualified professional before making any investment or trading decision.

Use this information at your own risk.