Weekly Market Recap: $17.31 Profit on Tactical Setups – What’s Next?
The first week of July 2025 came in strong — markets surged on AI momentum, steady crypto demand, and the massive $3.3 trillion U.S. fiscal injection. But rising yields, narrow leadership, and sticky inflation kept traders cautious.
I dropped premium setups every trading day this week — Monday, Wednesday, and Friday — covering S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Bitcoin, Nvidia, Gold, EUR/USD, and Russell 2000. The goal? Tactical gains with defined risk.
Let’s break down exactly how each setup performed — with clear entries, exits, stop-losses, and outcome on a $100-per-trade basis. Then I’ll walk you through five key macro events to stay ahead of for next week.
⚠️ Reminder: I’m not a financial advisor. These are my personal insights and trade ideas shared for educational purposes. You’re in charge of your own money — so manage risk, do your own research, and always think independently.
I share these trade setups every week — with macro context, risk levels, and market timing baked in. If you want to stay sharp in this environment, get full access for free and see what’s coming next.
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Trade Recap: Week of June 30 – July 4, 2025
All results assume $100 risk per trade. Green check = Profitable or breakeven. Red = Loss. If no exit was hit, close price on Friday was used.
Monday, June 30 — $6.49 Profit
S&P 500
• Entry: 6,175 | TP: 6,250 | SL: 6,140
✔️ Hit TP – Profit: $1.21
Driven by fiscal optimism and soft Fed stance. Closed at 6,279.
Nasdaq 100
• Entry: 22,550 | TP: 22,800 | SL: 22,300
✔️ Hit TP – Profit: $1.11
AI momentum lifted tech to fresh highs.
Bitcoin
• Entry: 108,000 | TP: 110,000 | SL: 106,000
✔️ Closed at 108,878 – Profit: $0.81
BTC remained range-bound on ETF inflows.
Nvidia
• Entry: 156 | TP: 162 | SL: 153
✔️ Closed at 159.34 – Profit: $2.14
Held gains on continued AI interest.
Gold
• Entry: 3,280 | TP: 3,320 | SL: 3,245
✔️ Hit TP – Profit: $1.22
Weaker dollar supported the breakout.
Wednesday, July 2 — $9.32 Profit
S&P 500
• Entry: 6,205 | TP: 6,250 | SL: 6,170
✔️ Hit TP – Profit: $0.73
Follow-through strength in large caps.
Nasdaq 100
• Entry: 22,500 | TP: 22,800 | SL: 22,300
✔️ Hit TP – Profit: $1.33
Tech still leading, clean execution.
Bitcoin
• Entry: 108,000 | TP: 110,000 | SL: 106,500
✔️ Closed at 108,878 – Profit: $0.81
Still coiling near $109k.
Nvidia
• Entry: 151 | TP: 158 | SL: 148
✔️ Hit TP – Profit: $4.64
Boosted by bullish Mizuho upgrade.
Gold
• Entry: 3,345 | TP: 3,370 | SL: 3,310
✔️ Closed at 3,353.10 – Profit: $0.24
Slow grind upward on safe-haven demand.
EUR/USD
• Entry: 1.1780 | TP: 1.1850 | SL: 1.1750
❌ Closed at 1.1778 – Loss: -$0.02
Choppy, lacked direction above 1.18.
Russell 2000
• Entry: 2,205 | TP: 2,240 | SL: 2,180
✔️ Hit TP – Profit: $1.59
Small caps rotated strongly.
Friday, July 4 — $1.50 Profit
S&P 500
• Entry: 6,280 | TP: 6,330 | SL: 6,250
❌ Closed at 6,279.36 – Loss: -$0.01
Barely missed TP, tight finish.
Nasdaq 100
• Entry: 22,900 | TP: 23,200 | SL: 22,700
❌ Closed at 22,866.97 – Loss: -$0.14
Tech cooled off late-week.
Bitcoin
• Entry: 109,200–109,500 | TP: 112,000 | SL: 107,800
🔄 Not Triggered
BTC didn’t break above $109k.
Nvidia
• Entry: 158.50 | TP: 165–170 | SL: 155
✔️ Closed at 159.34 – Profit: $0.53
Held ground, bullish tone intact.
Gold
• Entry: 3,345 | TP: 3,370–3,380 | SL: 3,330
✔️ Closed at 3,353.10 – Profit: $0.24
Stabilized amid yield volatility.
EUR/USD
• Entry: 1.1780 | TP: 1.1850 | SL: 1.1750
❌ Closed at 1.1778 – Loss: -$0.02
No real momentum all week.
Russell 2000
• Entry: 2,220 | TP: 2,260 | SL: 2,180
✔️ Closed at 2,240 – Profit: $0.90
Strong but just shy of target.
Weekly Summary
• Total Trades: 19
• Profitable/Neutral: 16
• Losses: 3 (all minor)
• One trade not triggered
• Total Profit: $17.31 on $1,800 invested (~0.96% return)
5 Market Events to Watch: July 7–11, 2025
CPI & PPI Inflation Reports (Mid-Week)
If CPI runs hot (>0.3% MoM), yields could spike — pressure on tech and risk assets.U.S. Treasury Auctions (All Week)
Weak demand = rising yields = possible headwind for equities.FOMC Comments + JOLTS Report (Tues/Wed)
A strong labor print could tilt the Fed away from pausing.U.S.–China Semiconductor Policy
Any new export curbs could impact Nvidia and the broader chip sector.Market Breadth Signals
If small caps stall and only ~55% of S&P stocks hold above their 200-DMA, a pullback risk grows.
Why This Matters
This week’s setups produced a clean $17.31 profit with tight risk and high win rates. Nvidia’s explosive +4.64% move, S&P 500’s strength, and Russell 2000’s breakout all underscore the value of disciplined execution.
I share these trade setups every week — with macro context, risk levels, and market timing baked in. If you want to stay sharp in this environment, get full access for free and see what’s coming next.
👉 Start Your 30-Day Free Trial for Daily Trade Ideas
Includes setups for S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Bitcoin, Nvidia, Gold, and more.
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Disclaimer: I am not a licensed financial advisor. This newsletter is for educational and informational purposes only, sharing my personal market opinions. Your capital is your responsibility. Always consult a licensed professional before trading or investing.