Premium Trade Outlook

We’re starting the week with markets sitting near highs but facing fresh macro stress. The S&P 500 (SPX) is hovering around 6,245, while the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) trades near 22,750 — both within striking distance of all-time highs. Bitcoinjust blew through $120,000, hitting $122,600, and Gold remains strong near $3,350. Nvidia (NVDA), the crown jewel of the AI trade, closed Friday near $164 after tagging another record.

What’s moving things this week? Two main drivers:

1. U.S. inflation (CPI) drops Wednesday — a hot number could kill the rate cut narrative.

2. Trump’s tariffs on the EU and Mexico just hit 30%, and threats toward Japan and China are rising. This is “Trade War 2.0,” and markets are watching closely.

I’m positioned bullish but tactical. There’s still upside left — but selectivity, tight risk management, and macro awareness are critical.

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